Earlier today, I had a post on the extremely biased (pro-Democrat and pro-statist, naturally) “news” article by Dan Eggen at the Washington Post about a WaPo-ABC News poll showing Americans of all political persuasions being against the recent Citizens United v. FEC ruling that pretty much trashed the 1st Amendment violation known as McCain-Feingold. In the post, there was nothing showing the questions that were asked; but, I guessed they would be misleading.

Turns out I was right.

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Dan Eggen at the Washington Post wrote a completely pro-Democrat and pro-statist piece called “Poll: Large majority opposes Supreme Court’s decision on campaign financing,” a report on a Washington Post-ABC News poll regarding the recent Citizens United v. FEC ruling, disguising it as a news article. It is claimed that as many as 85% of Democrats, 81% of independents, and, shockingly, 76% of Republicans oppose the ruling. But is it true?

If you read the whole of Eggen’s “news” article, you’ll notice what is missing: the question or questions that were asked.

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As we approach President Barack Obama’s first State of the Union address, it is worth taking a look at where Obama stands with the public one year into The One’s presidency.

As previously discussed here, Obama began his term with higher approval ratings that any president since John F. Kennedy, and lower disapproval ratings of any president except George H. W. Bush.  But a year of broken promises, a far-left liberal agenda, and a near neurotic drive to nationalize health care system, the president finds himself in a much different place at the beginning of his second year in office.

Quinnipiac conducted a poll recently on the question of whether Obama has been a success or a failure thus far, and the results were a shocking rebuke of the Administration in general and President Obama in particular.  When viewed through the proper lens, the poll shows that America’s white-hot love affair with Obama has burned out, as such things are wont to do, and the country is looking to come back home to the security of a trusted old flame.

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I was taken aback by Zogby’s prediction that Coakley would narrowly win the race today. All of the polling information of the past week had seemed so positive and undeniable that, while I remained skeptical myself due to potential fraudulent and unethical election activities, I had assumed the untarnished numbers were clear enough. So I checked them again.

While the Brown lead over Coakley has been generally increasing with each new poll, and hence the Brown +4 and Brown +9 numbers have been heartening, the actual percentage for Brown has been holding relatively steady at 51 or 52 points with only a couple of outliers to either side. Ever since the race became more well-known and Brown began leading, his support numbers have remained mostly level while Coakley’s have eroded. That explains the increase in the polls’ predicted margin of victory for Brown. Unfortunately, that also means that 51 or 52 points may be all Brown can muster, since those abandoning Coakley have not yet decided to vote for Brown. Those voters, perhaps Democrats or liberal independents who have been unimpressed by the Coakley campaign or some of her more egregious blunders, are an unaccounted-for voting bloc. I suspect Zogby anticipates that today, in the end, those voters will overcome their mild dislike of the Coakley campaign and vote for the party and the ideology which they favored initially.

Finally, all of the latest polls are of Likely Voters. Brown supporters have been much more excited and enthusiastic than Coakley’s, which means most of those supporters are already counted. If the unexcited and unenthusiastic liberals who don’t really like Coakley end up going to the polls anyway because this election has become so big a deal, that could skew the final results away from the latest predictions.

All of this is to say that now is not the time for complacency. This moment is still the greatest opportunity we citizens will have to affect the outcome of the health care reform battle. Each and every one of the 51 or 52% of likely Massachusetts voters supporting Scott Brown will be needed. Do not hesitate now. Be not dissuaded by foul weather, busy schedules, or long lines. Go forth and cast your vote. We are all counting on you.

I had the chance to stop by the new campaign headquarters of Rob Portman today as they kick their US Senate campaign into full gear in 2010.

Portman was kind enough to take a moment to give me an update which I captured with my handy-dandy Flip Video camera.

Rasmussen in early December reported the following:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows Portman now leading Brunner 40% to 33% after holding a two-point advantage in September. Just seven percent (7%) would choose another candidate, but 20% are undecided at this point.

Portman continues to run nearly even with Fisher 38% to 36%. In their match-up, 18% of Ohio voters are undecided, while another eight percent (8%) prefer another candidate. The two were virtually tied in September as well, with Portman just ahead 41% to 40%.

That’s what the Telegraph thinks, at least. Hard to say whether the British paper’s distance from the situation help or hurts its judgment, but they’ve found an interesting poll:

A recent poll by the Clarus Research Group found that Hillary Clinton had a 75 per cent approval rating compared to 51 per cent for the man who defeated her in their epic battle for the Democratic nomination.

[snip]

The woman who was one of the most polarising figures in American politics now has a glowing 65 per cent approval rating among Independents and healthy 57 per cent among Republicans.

Even sworn enemies on the Right marvelled at her toughness in refusing to concede to Obama until the bitter end in the summer of 2008 and now view her as more hawkish than the president.

(Poll here: H/T Hot Air Headlines.) Just off the top of my head: being ‘more hawkish than the president’ isn’t exactly hard, and while the VRWC is sympathetic towards the way that her primary opponent’s campaign apparatus used a largely gender-based attack strategy against her last year I predict that said sympathy will evaporate like dew in August if she ever becomes the Democratic nominee for President*.  That may not matter, given that a 65% approval rating among independent voters (almost double that of her boss) is enough to make any thoughtful politician stop with her coffee cup halfway to her lips.

Lastly: man, aside from SecState Clinton and Bush appointee SecDef Gates, those are wretched numbers for independent voters across the board.  Although VP Biden’s are arguably just ‘awful.’

Moe Lane

*Nothing personal, Madame Secretary.  Strictly business.

Crossposted to Moe Lane.